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Are We Heading Into a Bear Market Until 2026?

The post Are We Heading Into a Bear Market Until 2026? appeared com. The crypto market has experienced a challenging period, marked by extreme volatility and uncertainty. Fear and panic have dominated sentiment, driving significant price swings and cautious behavior in the market. Despite this, there is evidence that the market is not fundamentally broken, though manipulation remains a factor, primarily benefiting those accumulating large positions in Bitcoin, XRP, and other major assets. Historical context provides insight, as previous government shutdowns have been followed by sharp recoveries in Bitcoin, sometimes exceeding 700% gains, suggesting that periods of uncertainty can precede substantial upside when liquidity returns. Will the Federal Reserve Hold Off on a December Rate Cut? Currently, key economic factors, including Federal Reserve decisions, contribute to market uncertainty. With the recent government shutdown, crucial economic reports such as CPI, PPI, and employment data were delayed, creating uncertainty across the market. Investors now see less than a 50% chance of a Fed rate cut in December, according to a post from DustyBC Crypto on X. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell was clear when he recently warned that a December cut is not guaranteed. Comments from other Fed officials reflect growing hesitation about whether the central bank should move forward with a third straight policy easing at the Dec. 9-10 meeting. As a result, market expectations have shifted. Just a few days ago, traders were assigning stronger odds to a quarter-point cut, but those expectations have now settled into a highly uncertain outlook, according to futures data from the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Overall, the mixed signals from policymakers are keeping investors cautious as they wait for clearer direction from upcoming economic data. Bitcoin Faces Breakdown: Can TC Rebound After Closing Below the 50-Week Average? According to the crypto YouTube channel Crypto Underground, Bitcoin is facing increasing bearish pressure after closing below the 50-week moving.

admin November 16, 2025

**Crypto Market Volatility Continues as Fed Rate Cut Uncertainty Weighs on Sentiment**

The crypto market has endured a challenging period marked by extreme volatility and uncertainty. Fear and panic have dominated investor sentiment, driving significant price swings and cautious behavior across key assets. Although manipulation remains a concern—primarily benefiting those accumulating large positions in Bitcoin, XRP, and other major cryptocurrencies—there is evidence to suggest the market is not fundamentally broken.

To provide context, historical trends indicate that previous U.S. government shutdowns have been followed by sharp recoveries in Bitcoin, sometimes resulting in gains of over 700%. These episodes show that periods of uncertainty can precede substantial upside as liquidity returns to the market.

**Will the Federal Reserve Hold Off on a December Rate Cut?**

Currently, Federal Reserve decisions are one of the primary sources of market uncertainty. The recent government shutdown led to the delay of crucial economic reports, including CPI, PPI, and employment data, casting uncertainty across financial markets.

According to a post from DustyBC Crypto on X, investors now see less than a 50% chance of a Fed rate cut in December. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently cautioned that a December cut is not guaranteed, and other Fed officials have echoed growing hesitation about proceeding with a third straight policy easing at the Dec. 9–10 meeting.

Market expectations have shifted. A few days ago, traders assigned stronger odds to a quarter-point cut, but those expectations have since fallen, resulting in a highly uncertain outlook. This is confirmed by futures data from the CME Group’s FedWatch tool. Overall, the mixed signals from policymakers are keeping investors cautious as they await clearer direction from upcoming economic data releases.

**Bitcoin Faces Breakdown: Can It Rebound After Closing Below the 50-Week Average?**

According to analysis from the crypto YouTube channel Crypto Underground, Bitcoin faces increasing bearish pressure after closing below the 50-week moving average for the first time in the current bull cycle. The weekly candle settled around $94,400, bringing Bitcoin closer to filling the remaining gap near $91,000.

Despite this weakness, technical indicators on the daily chart show deeply oversold conditions, suggesting a relief bounce may be imminent. Key resistance lies near $110,000, where a rally into the developing death cross will determine whether a full bear market is confirmed. Failure to reclaim this level on both daily and weekly closes would signal a decisive shift into bearish territory. For now, Bitcoin remains at a pivotal crossroads, with the next bounce likely to set the tone for the market’s direction.

*Source: Crypto Underground YouTube Channel*

**Harvard Moves $443M Into IBIT, Making Bitcoin Its Biggest ETF Investment**

In a striking move, Harvard University’s endowment has revealed a $443 million holding in BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), making it the fund’s largest known equity stake in a spot Bitcoin ETF. Bloomberg senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas noted that it is rare for major endowments, especially at elite institutions like Harvard or Yale, to invest in exchange-traded funds.

Although the position represents about 1% of Harvard’s total assets, it is enough to rank the university 16th among IBIT shareholders. The investment also became Harvard’s largest reported holding in its 13F filing, marking its most substantial increase in Q3. Institutional investors like Harvard typically avoid ETFs in favor of private equity, real estate, and direct investments, making this IBIT allocation especially noteworthy for the crypto industry.

**Layer-2 Crypto Presale Boosts Bitcoin Speed, Lowers Fees, and Enables DeFi**

While many retail investors have exited, some continue seeking high-upside opportunities alongside Bitcoin. One example is the Bitcoin Hyper presale, which recently recorded a substantial on-chain purchase of around $502K, pushing its total funds raised to nearly $28 million.

Bitcoin Hyper is a Bitcoin Layer-2 solution designed to provide the speed and scalability that the original blockchain lacks. The project delivers fast, low-cost Bitcoin transactions, addressing persistent issues of slow processing and high fees. Through a canonical bridge and smart contract verification, Bitcoin can be seamlessly minted onto the Layer-2 network, enabling near-instant transfers and minimal transaction costs.

The system supports advanced functions such as DeFi, staking, decentralized exchanges, and meme coin activity—all powered by Solana’s high-throughput virtual machine. Security is reinforced through zero-knowledge proofs and regular settlement commitments to Bitcoin’s Layer-1. With robust technical foundations and rising visibility across major crypto media outlets, Bitcoin Hyper positions itself as a meaningful expansion of Bitcoin’s utility.

To participate in the HYPER token presale, visit [bitcoinhyper.com](https://bitcoinhyper.com).

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